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Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research/Fox News: December 10–13, 2023 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 50%: 4%: The Economist/YouGov Poll: December 9–12, 2023 1,332 (RV) ± 3.0% 43%: 43%: 14% Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies/CNBC: December 8–12, 2023 1,002 (A) ± 3.1% 42% 48%: 10% Clarity Campaign Labs: December 7–10, 2023 ...
NBC News: January 26–30, 2024 349 (LV) – – 1% – 19% – – 1% – 79% – CNN/SSRS: January 25–30, 2024 442 (RV) – – – – 19% – – – – 70%: 8% YouGov: January 24–30, 2024 363 (A) – – – – 13% – – – – 77%: 10%: Emerson College: January 26–29, 2024 571 (LV) – – – – 18.9% – – – – 73.1%: 8 ...
CBS News/YouGov: April 19–25, 2024 1,262 (LV) ± 3.1% 51%: 49% – Fox News: April 11–16, 2024 1,126 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 49%: 5% Bloomberg/Morning Consult: April 8–15, 2024 708 (RV) ± 4.0% 47%: 45% 8% Marketing Resource Group: April 8–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 42%: 22%: The Bullfinch Group: March 29 – April 3, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% ...
And indeed, the New York Times poll shows that, compared to the Times ’ early March survey, Biden won a larger share of his own 2020 voters this month—89 percent, up from 83 percent. Trump is ...
The final Yahoo News/YouGov poll before next Tuesday's midterms shows that Republicans have erased Democrats' long-standing lead in the battle for control of Congress, putting the GOP in position ...
Aside from Fox News, Trafalgar had reported the most accurate poll in Virginia, predicting Glenn Youngkin would win by 2, which he did by 1.9. In New Jersey, Trafalgar had Phil Murphy winning the election but gave him the smallest margin of the polls, with only 4%, while Murphy won by 2.8% 2022 US midterm elections
ECU showed Budd with the largest gap over Beasley at 6 points, while Trafalgar showed Budd 4.2 percentage points ahead. Those results were outside each poll’s margins of error.
The Trafalgar Group's polling numbers were mostly inaccurate in the 2022 United States midterm elections. Trafalgar's polls incorrectly suggested that Republican candidates such as Kari Lake, Mehmet Oz, Tim Michels, and Herschel Walker, would all win. References
Fox News: November 14–17, 2021 44% 54% 2% 1,003 phone United States: All adults: YouGov (for The Economist) November 20–23, 2021 41% 49% 10% 1,500 online United States: Likely voters: Trafalgar Group: November 26–29, 2021 36.3% 59.1% 4.6% 1,082 IVR/online
The Republican National Committee determined that candidates must qualify for the first primary debate by polling above 1% in three national polls since July 2023 – or in two national polls and one poll from two different early primary states (of which the polls must meet committee standards) – as well as attract donations from at least 40,000 individuals, with at least 200 from each of 20 ...